Breadth, ETH/BTC leadership, Bitcoin dominance, liquidity and position-specific trend damage.
Waiting for market breadth and liquidity.
Readiness measures proximity to a fixed setup. It is not a win probability.
| Asset | Regime | Readiness | State | Active setup | Entry zone | Stop | Target | Paper size |
|---|
Monthly and weekly bars decide regime; daily bars decide whether an entry exists. Only the selected chart is downloaded.
| Setup | OOS episodes | Win rate | Avg net | 95% lower | Profit factor | Max drawdown |
|---|
RSI(14) on completed UTC weekly candles. A reading at or below 32 starts a 30-day daily-email watch, not a buy signal.
| Asset | Weekly RSI | Status | Last close | Week starting | Watch days left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading weekly readings... | |||||
Coinbase USD candles may differ from TradingView charts on another exchange.
Closed-candle momentum across intraday and daily timeframes, with fixed-rule evidence after costs.
Use this below the higher-timeframe setup process, never as a replacement for it.
| Timeframe | Horizon | Episodes | Win rate | Avg net | 95% lower | Max drawdown |
|---|
| Asset / Direction | Entry | 24h | 72h | 7d | Status |
|---|
Signals are frozen when observed. Entry occurs at the next daily open; stop wins ties against target.
| Asset | Setup | Status | Entry | Stop | Target | Size | Exit | Net | PnL |
|---|
These rules are frozen before prospective results accumulate.
Closed monthly EMA10 direction and closed weekly EMA20/EMA50 structure must both be bullish. Daily indicators cannot override a mixed higher timeframe.
Trend pullback reclaim, 55-day breakout, and compression expansion. No extra pattern is added after seeing its outcome.
$5 planned risk per trade, $250 maximum position, $20 maximum simultaneous open risk, and a $100 portfolio drawdown stop.